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Sunday Finds + 3 Thoughts From Last Week
chitchatmoney.substack.com

Sunday Finds + 3 Thoughts From Last Week

Carvana + Cloudflare

Chit Chat Money
Jun 11
2
Share this post
Sunday Finds + 3 Thoughts From Last Week
chitchatmoney.substack.com

Welcome to Chit Chat Money’s Sunday Finds + 3 Thoughts From Last Week. In this newsletter you will find three topics I thought about last week, links to shows we’ve recently released, and links to some interesting articles, podcasts, and tweets. Check out the archive here.

I’m on vacation, so all I have are three quick thoughts for today:

  1. Counterintuitively, ESG investors should own the companies they despise. Somebody is going to earn a share of the company’s profits, so why not use them for good?

  2. Unhealthy eating, or, in general, cultural culinary habits, have insanely strong network effects. I think there is an investing lesson here.

  3. A decision to not sell a stock has the same magnitude as a decision to sell it. You make this decision every day with every stock in the world. I believe this framework can be helpful when trying to manage a portfolio, counteracting our bias to things we own.

See you next week,

Brett

***Our fund, Arch Capital, may own securities discussed in this newsletter. Check our holdings page and read our full disclosure to learn more.***


***Want our free weekly wrap-up delivered to your inbox each week? Subscribe here***


Catch up on Our Shows From Last Week

  • Not So Deep Dive: Carvana Stock

  • Deep Dive: Cloudflare Part II With Joe Furmanski

  • Power Hour #10: Potential Roku Buyout, $ZM Discussion, Anti-ESG ESG


3 Good Reads

  • 7 Billion Sets of Spectacles - Investment Talk

To a regular individual, they may also notice a Starbucks as they walk past it. But the brain won’t exert itself in the same way. It’s stimuli that need not be triggered, for it’s not believed to be of importance. Now, is my subconscious attention to Starbucks a good use of brain power? Likely not, all things considered. But it’s how my brain works. My point being, that when we make the conscious decision, as investors, that we are now interested in Company X, our brains, previously adopting the cocktail party effect on Company X, filtering it out, will begin to adopt the frequency illusion. We start to see the lattice.

  • Where (And What) the Hell Is the Metaverse - Where’s Your Ed At

Except it hasn’t worked before. When there is nothing to do in a game, people tend not to play it. Games that are bad and boring tend not to succeed. Online games that are too weird and time-consuming (see: Star Wars: Galaxies) tend to fall apart or require massive rehauls to stop players from leaving. MMORPGs - and any online space of any kind - require some sort of meaningful, replicable utility that tells you to do this instead of doing something else. Fortnite and Roblox have succeeded because they are both enjoyable spaces to hang out in but accessible and interesting games. I fully disagree that Fortnite is a “space” for “hanging out” - what it actually is is a game that is simple enough to play that you can play around in it and have a conversation, and without said dickery, you’d probably just call or text the people in question.

  • Farfetch: Integrating the Luxury Value Chain - Global Quality Investing

Over the years, Farfetch has significantly outshined its primary competitors. Yoox-Net-A-Porter 2021 revenue has essentially been flat since Richemont acquired them in 2018. YNAP had a better 2020 but saw its revenue decline back to 2019 levels as supply chain issues and Brexit created complications. The latest results imply better growth since then, but the two-year stack pales in comparison to Farfetch.

1 Good Listen

  • Michael Mauboussin’s Man Overboard Moment and Sector Rotation - This Week In Intelligent Investing

In this episode, co-hosts Phil Ordway, Elliot Turner, and John Mihaljevic discuss the "man overboard moment" Michael Mauboussin wrote about in a 2015 white paper entitled, "Managing the Man Overboard Moment." We also talk about the concept of "sector rotation."

Smart and Funny Tweets:

Twitter avatar for @TheTranscript_The Transcript @TheTranscript_
Stanley Druckenmiller this week: 1. On the bear market "My best guess is that we’re 6 months into a bear market. For those tactically trading, it’s possible the first leg of that has ended. But I think it’s highly, highly probable that the bear market has a ways to run."

June 10th 2022

20 Retweets126 Likes
Twitter avatar for @Jesse_LivermoreJesse Livermore @Jesse_Livermore
Assume that next week, Fed comes out and says the following: "We were paying 75 bps interest on reserves. We are now increasing that to 500 bps. We will keep the rate at 500 bps until core PCE falls below 3%." What would break?

June 10th 2022

10 Retweets93 Likes
Twitter avatar for @cmsinternCMS intern @cmsintern
smh
Image

June 8th 2022

1,519 Retweets15,010 Likes
Twitter avatar for @willis_capWillis Cap @willis_cap
Pretty sure my $CPRT due-diligence is done
Image

June 8th 2022

1 Retweet71 Likes
Twitter avatar for @modestproposal1modest proposal @modestproposal1
A+ headline
Image

June 8th 2022

42 Retweets726 Likes
Twitter avatar for @jeichlerlevineJodi Eichler-Levine @jeichlerlevine
I'm a religion studies professor researching Disney and I'm here to tell you why to stop pathologizing Disney adults, trending again because of this post. A thread:
Image

June 6th 2022

796 Retweets6,061 Likes
Twitter avatar for @lhamtilLawrence Hamtil @lhamtil
Per Vaclav Smil, from 2000-2020, energy supply from wind, solar, etc rose 50 fold, but fossil fuels' share dropped just from 87% to 85%, mainly attributable to more hydro power. Kind of puts dependence in perspective

June 7th 2022

22 Retweets141 Likes
Twitter avatar for @DemonKingEddyEddy大魔王 @DemonKingEddy
In 1986 the American Physical Society booked 4000 hotel rooms in the MGM Grand Hotel and cost the casinos so much money that the APS was asked to never come back by the entire city of Las Vegas. The physicists didn't discover some genius gambling strategy, they just didn't play.

June 3rd 2022

4,068 Retweets32,508 Likes
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Sunday Finds + 3 Thoughts From Last Week
chitchatmoney.substack.com
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